#Polymarket

A note on what is confirmed, what is inferred, and what remains undisclosed...

We didn't get a valuation. We didn't get a token status. We didn't get a...

On a Tuesday morning in the middle of a bull market, Reuters published a stor...

There is a particular kind of silence that follows a court order in Taipei. I...

Two rules. One window. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission just did...

Three orders. Friday afternoon. Nineteen dollars. Then seventy-four. Then...

On a Tuesday afternoon, a filing landed on the Supreme Court's docket that mo...

Over the past several weeks, a single phrase has moved through...

The most consequential line in the October 7 disclosure about Polymarket was...

On August 28, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission quietly fined a former...

The data suggests a number, and the number suggests a conclusion. Galaxy...

A 27-year Goldman Sachs partner with no prior crypto operating experience jus...

Last week a number crossed my feed inside a crypto publication: 10.5%. It sat...

Sixty-four thousand dollars. That is the notional volume that moved a statewi...

Over the past fourteen days, derivative contracts have been trading in the...

The ten million dollars never left. That is the detail I keep returning to. P...

CENTCOM confirmed a mine-free corridor through the Strait of Hormuz. Within...

A single Polymarket event contract absorbed $144.5 million in notional volume...

On a Thursday docket quiet enough to hear, Sam Bankman-Fried's attorneys file...

In 2024, Polymarket processed over $10 billion in trades. It was the crowning...

FCA's March perimeter report quietly dropped in the regulatory ether, raising...

The prediction market space has a new entrant. Longshot launched on Base. Fre...

Data indicates a quiet shift inside one of crypto’s more mature application...

Ledger lines don't lie. Neither do prediction market contracts. Bitcoin just...

The data is clean. Bitcoin has surged to its strongest level in five months,...

Silence before the breach. On a quiet August afternoon, 152 wallets moved in...

Polymarket's smart contracts executed 47,000 trades last week. Not a single o...

The number is precise: 13.5%. On Polymarket, the probability that crude oil...

Hook $1.2 million. That’s the amount wagered on the Eaton and Palisades...

The Korean Communications Commission (KCC) has ordered internet service...

The divergence is stark. On one side, OpenAI's official channels are signalin...

The race wasn’t to the swift, but to the ones who read the bytecode first. La...

We didn't see this coming. 83% of search interest in prediction markets...

Last week, Polymarket opened a contract on the price of a single ungraded...

Trust is a bug. The market is preparing to assign a $2 trillion valuation to ...

JPMorgan terminated its core banking relationship with Polymarket in October...

The odds of a Bank of Japan rate hike in September tripled on Polymarket over...

Baltimore didn't just file a lawsuit. It threw a legal grenade into the heart...

The market is bleeding conviction in intervention. Polymarket's odds for a Ba...

Baltimore’s legal attack on Kalshi isn’t just a local nuisance. It’s a stress...

Hook Over the past twelve months, DCM filings for event contract incentive...

We assume that a federal license is a shield against state-level scrutiny. Bu...

Prediction markets are not decentralized. The $170,000 lawsuit against...

The probability of Bitcoin hitting $70,000 by August 31st stands at 31% on...

$170,000. In a market that cleared billions on a single election night, that...

The number landed without a press release. No statement, no thread, no...

The ledger was clean, but the vision was fragile. On August 5, the Senate...

Four million dollars. One basketball question. And a regulatory ambiguity so...

Insider trading is usually prosecuted as a crime of access — access to...

When the compliance officer is the one apologizing to the state, the market's...